• Technical & Fundamental Analysis

The Trump Effect: Explaining the Impact the US President Has Had on Crypto

The Trump Effect has undeniably reshaped the cryptocurrency landscape. Following his election, Bitcoin prices soared dramatically, with reports indicating a rise to $104,000—a staggering 50% increase.

April 1, 2025

The Trump Effect has undeniably reshaped the cryptocurrency landscape. Following his election, Bitcoin prices soared dramatically, with reports indicating a rise to $104,000—a staggering 50% increase. Trump's proactive stance on crypto, advocating for the US to become the "crypto capital of the world," has ignited investor enthusiasm. His administration’s regulatory adjustments and the establishment of a US crypto reserve signal a new era of credibility and support for digital currencies. As Trump surrounds himself with crypto advocates, the market remains bullish, raising critical questions about the sustainability of this growth and the future of cryptocurrency in America.

The Rise of Cryptocurrency During Trump's Presidency

Factors Contributing to Increased Bitcoin Prices

Since Trump's reelection, the cryptocurrency market has experienced remarkable growth, with Bitcoin trading at approximately $104,000 shortly after his victory. Analysts suggest that this surge can be attributed to a shift in investor sentiment, largely driven by the optimism surrounding Trump's pro-crypto policies. According to Roderick Melvin Johnson, an active crypto investor, "Narrative drives price. The Biden administration put a choke hold on crypto. Trump, who has publicly supported it, is seen as a world where crypto can thrive with government support" (Al Jazeera).

Trump's Pro-Crypto Stance and Its Influence

Trump's declaration of intent to establish the US as the "crypto capital of the planet" has resonated with investors and crypto enthusiasts alike. His administration has actively recruited individuals with backgrounds in cryptocurrency, signalling a shift towards a more accommodating regulatory environment. As noted by PBS News, "It’s clear that this is going to be a period when any regulation related to cryptocurrencies is going to be very favourable to the industry" (PBS News).

Key Changes in Cryptocurrency Regulations

New Appointments and Their Implications

The appointment of pro-crypto figures to key regulatory positions has further fueled market optimism. According to Andy Baehr, managing director at CoinDesk Indices, "All of the things that were on the wish list last summer have pretty much happened—especially for bitcoin" (CNBC). These changes are expected to enhance regulatory clarity, which could ultimately benefit institutional investors looking to enter the cryptocurrency market.

Comparison to Previous Administration Policies

Under the previous administration, there was a marked increase in regulatory scrutiny, which many believed hindered the growth of the cryptocurrency market. In contrast, Trump's presidency is expected to usher in a more favourable regulatory framework that could help sustain the current bullish market trend. As Eswar Prasad, a professor of trade policy at Cornell University, stated, "If there was going to be a Trump administration, it would essentially be a much more conducive regulatory environment for crypto" (PBS News).

The Formation of the US Crypto Reserve

Purpose and Potential Benefits

The establishment of a US crypto reserve has been a significant announcement from the Trump administration. This reserve is intended to bolster the credibility of cryptocurrencies and enhance the US's standing in the global crypto market. Trump stated, "I want America to be the nation that leads the way" in cryptocurrency, highlighting the importance of this strategic reserve (Investopedia).

Global Implications of a US Crypto Reserve

The global implications of the US establishing a crypto reserve are profound. As the US is the world's largest economy, its actions in the cryptocurrency space are likely to influence other nations' policies towards digital currencies. If successful, this initiative could encourage other countries to consider similar measures, thereby legitimising cryptocurrencies on a global scale (Al Jazeera).

Market Reactions to Trump's Policies

Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Surges

The response from the market to Trump's policies was initially positive, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both experiencing significant price surges. As reported by VanEck, "In the hours after Election Day, its value jumped 8 percent" (VanEck).

Subsequent Decline in Bitcoin Prices

Despite the initial surge in Bitcoin prices, the cryptocurrency experienced a notable decline shortly thereafter. Analysts attribute this downturn to a combination of profit-taking by investors and market corrections following the unprecedented highs. Furthermore, while Trump's administration has made strides towards a pro-crypto environment, the implementation of new regulations and the establishment of a crypto reserve brought uncertainty, leading to volatility in the market. As noted in reports, "Cryptocurrencies fell after President Trump issued an executive order establishing a strategic bitcoin reserve and 'digital asset stockpile,'" indicating that while the intent was to bolster confidence in digital currencies, the immediate market reaction was mixed (Al Jazeera).

Investor Sentiment and Market Confidence

Investor sentiment has improved markedly with the prospect of a Trump administration, which is perceived as being more favourable to cryptocurrency. The overall atmosphere in the crypto market is one of optimism, with many anticipating further growth in the sector as regulatory conditions improve.

Future Predictions and Considerations

Sustainability of the Current Market Trends

While the current market trends are promising, questions remain about their sustainability. Analysts caution that while optimism is warranted, investors should remain vigilant about potential market corrections. As stated in Investopedia, "The rapid rise in cryptocurrency prices could lead to volatility" (Investopedia).

Potential Risks and Regulatory Challenges

Despite the positive outlook, potential risks and regulatory challenges loom on the horizon. Investors will need to stay informed about these developments to navigate the evolving landscape effectively.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the Trump Effect has significantly impacted the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum. With a pro-crypto agenda and the establishment of a US crypto reserve, the current administration has created a more favourable environment for digital currencies. However, as the market evolves, it will be crucial for investors and stakeholders to monitor regulatory changes and market dynamics to ensure sustainable growth in this exciting sector.

Sources

  1. Why is Trump's election as US president prompting a Bitcoin surge? https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/11/12/why-is-trumps-election-as-us-president-prompting-a-bitcoin-surge
  2. 3 ways Trump has impacted crypto so far - CNBC https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/31/how-trump-has-impacted-crypto-so-far.html
  3. What Trump's Presidency Means for Bitcoin and Investors | VanEck https://www.vaneck.com/us/en/blogs/digital-assets/trump-and-bitcoin/
  4. The Rise of Crypto and What Donald Trump Has to Do with It https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8_sVKedjdY
  5. The "Trump Bump" Gave Bitcoin a Massive Boost. But Will It Last? https://www.investopedia.com/trump-bump-in-crypto-8771680
  6. Trump announces US crypto reserve: What it is, and why it matters https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/3/4/trump-announces-us-crypto-reserve-what-it-is-and-why-it-matters
  7. What another Trump administration could mean for crypto | PBS News https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/what-does-a-trump-administration-mean-for-crypto
  8. President Donald J. Trump Establishes the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve ... https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/03/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-establishes-the-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-and-u-s-digital-asset-stockpile/
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